Nykaa jumped over 5 percent to Rs 146.3, the highest closing level since January 13 and has seen formation of bullish candlestick pattern on the daily charts. In fact, it has been in an uptrend for last seven out of eight straight sessions, but still below all long term moving averages (50, 100 and 200 EMA).
Poonawalla Fincorp has given a downward consolidation breakout on the daily chart, suggesting a rise in optimism. In addition, the stock has moved above the important near term moving average.
The Nifty50 has been in the range of Budget day (17,353-17,972) for fifth day in a row. Therefore, unless and until it takes out decisively the high of that day, the volatility and rangebound trade is likely to continue with crucial support at 17,700-17,550 area, experts said.
The monetary policy acts with lags, it may take 3-4 quarters for the policy rate to be transmitted to the real economy, and the peak effect may take as long as 5-6 quarters, said Dhiraj Relli of HDFC Securities.
Infrastructure has definitely emerged as a clear winner after the budget. Crucial to boosting last-mile connectivity, India has decided to build 50 additional airports, heliports, and aerodromes, and identified 100 fresh projects.
"Banks are at the peak of their health in terms of asset quality and in a tight monetary environment continue to flourish. Credit expansion theme seems to be continuing and the earnings have been spectacular," said Sonam Srivastava, Founder at Wright Research
"The exposure to Adani group companies is not reflecting a systemic challenge. There are tangible assets backing the loans," said Divam Sharma, Founder of Green Portfolio.
Badrinivas' comments come in the backdrop of China opening up and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) being bullish there amid pent-up consumption and India's higher valuations.
Oil India shares climbed 4.5 percent to Rs 225 and formed strong bullish candle on the daily charts with above average volumes. Also there was Morning Star kind of pattern formation after recent correction, which is bullish reversal pattern.
Action Construction Equipment is coming out of 11 days of consolidation with heavy volume followed by a breakout of the Bullish Inverse Head & Shoulder formation. The overall structure of the counter is very classical on the daily chart.
A recession in the United States may not be completely off the table, but the possibility is quickly diminishing in the eyes of experts. Goldman Sachs reduced the probability of a recession in the U.S. to 25 percent after a stronger-than-expected jobs report.
The Nifty50 has been rangebound for the fourth straight session. If the index decisively surpasses 17,800 then 18,000 can be the next possible resistance for the Nifty, with crucial support area of 17,600-17,550 levels, say experts
The biggest catalyst for our markets will be the US Fed commentary regarding inflation and when they actually pause or pivot in the interest rate tightening cycle.
Procter & Gamble Health shares had a robust gap up opening on Monday, rising nearly 15 percent to Rs 4,703, the highest closing level since February 16, 2022. In fact, the gap up opening has helped the stock climb over all long term moving averages (50, 100 and 200 EMA). The stock has formed strong bullish candlestick pattern on the daily charts with healthy volumes.
Accumulation was seen in Just Dial since January 16 where volumes are sharply higher on up days as compared to down days. Short term trend of the stock is positive as stock price is trading above its 5 and 20-day EMA.
The volatility is likely to continue in coming sessions too with support at 17,700 followed by crucial support at 17,550 level, whereas the resistance is expected at 17,800-18,000 area, experts said.
The infrastructure, IT and banking sectors will propel the index past the 19,000 mark, says Jain.
In the near term, the index is expected to take support at 17,600, which has been holding quite well on every closing in the past six consecutive sessions, with resistance at the 18,000-18,250 zone
While we can expect some temporary relief in frontline Adani stocks like Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Ambuja Cement, and ACC, there are still no signs of reversal in the other stocks of the group.
The upcoming week can be approached with a low-risk strategy like modified Put Butterfly in Nifty.
On February 3, Supreme Industries gained over 3 percent to close at a record high of Rs 2,630, Mahindra Lifespace Developers gained 9 percent to Rs 380 and AAVAS Financiers was up more than 7 percent at Rs 2,000
The Adani group, other domestic events as well as international developments will have a bearing on the market this week
Karma Capital believes that the government has delivered on all counts of capex, consumption and credit.
IT companies' results have generally met or exceeded expectations, as they have been successful in preserving margins.
As long as the Nifty stays above 17,650, a further pullback rally is possible in the coming sessions